By Sam Miller, Jason Wojciechowski
The bestselling annual baseball preview from the neatest analysts within the business
Now in its nineteenth variation, the Baseball Prospectus annual exhibits once more the way it grew to become the chief: The 2014 version comprises key stat different types, extra arguable participant predictions, and the type of clever, witty baseball remark that makes this phone-book-thick tome worthy interpreting hide to cover.
Baseball Prospectus 2014 presents delusion gamers and insiders alike with prescient PECOTA projections, which activities Illustrated has referred to as ""perhaps the game's such a lot actual projection model."" nonetheless, stats are only numbers when you don't see the bigger context, and Baseball Prospectus brings jointly an elite workforce of analysts to supply the definitive examine all thirty teams—their gamers, their customers, and their managers—to clarify away flukes, sizzling streaks, injury-tainted numbers, and park results. Victory, in spite of everything, might come all the way down to picking out among the intended sleeper and the puffed up customers who won't be ready to idiot humans within the express like they've got down at the farm.
Nearly each major-league group has sought the recommendation of present or former Prospectus writers, and readers of Baseball Prospectus 2014 will comprehend what all these enthusiasts were raving about.
""If you're a baseball fan and also you don't be aware of what BP is, you're operating in a mine with out a kind of helmets with the lighting on it.""—Keith Olbermann
""The first time I observed the PECOTA projections, i noticed that somebody in the market understood."" —Jeff Luhnow, common supervisor, Houston Astros
""For me, each year baseball starts with the large, terrific, appealing booklet you're keeping on your arms correct now.""—Joe Posnanski
Baseball Prospectus 2013 properly predicted:
*Disappointing performances via Albert Pujols, Dan Haren, Michael Bourn, Justin Upton, and Tommy Hanson.
*Breakouts by way of Paul Goldschmidt, Freddie Freeman, Kyle Seager, Matt Moore, Shelby Miller, and Jason Kipnis, in addition to bounceback seasons from Jayson Werth and Shin-Soo Choo.
*That Max Scherzer will be a Cy younger contender and Michael Wacha ace-in-waiting for the Cardinals.
*That Wil Myers will be a middle-of-the-order bat for Tampa Bay and Josh Donaldson could ultimately win the wealthy Harden exchange for the A's.
*That CC Sabathia's speed drop can be a challenge, yet Felix Hernandez's wouldn't be.
*That Joaquin Benoit, Kenley Jansen, and Koji Uehara have been larger bullpen bets than pre-season nearer selections Bruce Rondon, Brandon League, and Joel Hanrahan.
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Extra resources for Baseball Prospectus 2014: The Essential Guide to the 2014 Season
Beckett and his teammates needed only a handful of outs to become the ﬁrst visiting team in 22 years to splash Champagne in the Yankees’ home. But the Yankees had often come back under dire circumstances during Joe Torre’s tenure as manager. Twenty-ﬁve of their 56 postseason victories from 1996 to 2001 occurred after they had fallen behind; it was a trademark of those teams. And Beckett was working Game 6 on short rest, something he had never done before. A walk or a single and then perhaps the Yankees would start piecing something together.
Players from the Yankees—and from the Mets and other New York area sports teams who made appearances and contributed money—of course did not have the power to change the past. But they realized that when they played, when they shook hands and signed autographs and gave hugs, they could provide some emotional relief, if for only a few minutes or hours. Players began contacting city representatives directly to ask where they might help. It reminded people that we were going to get back to normal, thought Rudy Giuliani, New York City’s mayor.
He and his wife, Debbie—who was in New York to see her husband’s ﬁrst attempt to achieve his 20th victory of that season—decided to drive to Texas, taking turns at the wheel. Scott Brosius’s three children had already gone home to Oregon to begin the school year, and Allison, nine years old, cried on the phone. “We need to be a family now,” she told her father. Four days after the attacks, most of the Yankees worked out together at Yankee Stadium, the smell of smoke thick in the air. General Manager Brian Cashman already understood that when baseball resumed, the Yankees would become a symbol of the city, and before the ﬁrst workout, he led the players onto the inﬁeld, where they knelt and prayed.
Baseball Prospectus 2014: The Essential Guide to the 2014 Season by Sam Miller, Jason Wojciechowski