By Constance F. Citro, Michael L. Cohen
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Extra resources for Bicentennial Census: New Directions for Methodology in 1990
We recommend that the Census Bureau simulate sampling in the Vacant/Delete Check program in an upcoming pretest. The panel did not offer specific recommendations in this area, but noted that the criteria for including items in the followon survey have not been explicitly articulated but should be to permit thorough assessment of the need for the survey and for the inclusion of particular items. We recommend that the Census Bureau refine and make more explicit its criteria for inclusion of items in the proposed followon survey that is being considered for the 1990 census.
A theme running through the charge to the panel is to design a methodology that improves accuracy compared with previous censuses but costs no more, and ideally less, in constant dollars. We have endeavored to state our position and to recommend directions for needed research on critical issues of what constitutes costeffective methodology, particularly the relative emphasis to be given to counting versus estimation. Nonetheless, the panel believes that it is important to implement changes on some dimensions for 1990 and to undertake planning that may lead to further changes in the future.
The panel also supports further testing of telephone followup of nonresponding households, which was tried experimentally in 1980. Finally, the panel discusses the need to maintain machinereadable records of the followup history of individual households that will permit detailed analysis and simulation of different sample designs. We recommend that the Census Bureau not pursue research or testing of a sample survey as a replacement for a complete enumeration in 1990. We recommend that in its research the Census Bureau emphasize tests of sampling for the later stages of followup.
Bicentennial Census: New Directions for Methodology in 1990 by Constance F. Citro, Michael L. Cohen